A memo on October 6; a phone call from CIA Head George Tenet on October 7 telling you that the Niger uranium story is too soft to be put in a presidential speech--those simply aren't the kinds of things you forget if you are Deputy Assistant to the President for National Security.
More important, those are the kinds of things you tell your boss. Anytime you have an important conversation with someone higher up than you in the information-flow hierarchy, you tell your boss what it was about. That's how competent bureaucracies work.
Posted by DeLong at July 23, 2003 09:28 AM | TrackBackOxBlog: THE DAILY SCAPEGOAT: Now that George Tenet has declined the honor, NSC #2 Stephen Hadley has become the administration's whipping boy du jour. According to today's WaPo,
Hadley, in a rare on-the-record session with reporters, said that he had received two memos from the CIA and a phone call from agency Director George Tenet last October raising objections to an allegation that Iraq was seeking to buy uranium ore from Africa to use in building nuclear weapons.Once again, the administration's latest apology raises more questions then it answers. Did Hadley simply forget that Saddam hadn't sought to buy uranium from Niger? Or did the final draft of the SotU get okayed by the NSC without Hadley having read it?
As a result, Hadley said the offending passage was excised from a speech on Iraq the president gave in Cincinnati last Oct. 7. But Hadley suggested that details from the memos and phone call had slipped from his attention as the State of the Union was being put together.
In addition, the removal of the uranium allegation from the Oct. 7 speech suggests that Rice herself was aware of the CIA objections. Unless, that is, no one ever explained to Rice why such an important allegation was taken out of a nationally televised speech. Yet presuming Rice was aware, did she also "forget" about the CIA's objections when it came time to draft the SotU?
While I don't claim any special expertise on the inner working of the Bush White House, it sure as hell seems like everyone is trying very hard to protect Condi Rice from taking the fall for Uranium-gate. First of all, I seriously doubt that either Tenet or Hadley offered his apology without first informing the President of his intention to do so. And given that Condi had to publicly embarrass Tenet before he offered his apology, one gets the sense that Tenet was ordered to apologize rather offering to do so of his own free will.
Now, is it any more likely that Hadley offered to go public of his own free will? I doubt it. If he were really in the wrong, he should've said so up front and not let Rice force Tenet to talk the fall (albeit temporarily). According to White House Communications Director Dan Bartlett, the President"has full confidence in his national security adviser, his deputy national security adviser and the director of central intelligence."Translation: Hadley won't have to pay for his mistakes, Tenet will get away with withdrawing his apology, and no one expects Rice to apologize at all.
Also according to Bartlett, the 16 words survived the drafting process because "the process failed". Ah, yes, the passive voice. The last refuge of the scoundrel. Perhaps Bartlett will tell us next that "mistakes were made".
PLUS: Josh Marshall fisks Bill Kristol's defense of the adminstration...
Casualties since May 1:
American soldiers 96
British soldiers 11
---
107
American 235
British 44
---
279 Totals
Note: American forces have risen to 148,000
British forces have been cut from 10,000
to 5,000
CIA Director called a while ago. Sorry, I forgot to pass along the message. Huh?????
Posted by: bill on July 23, 2003 09:52 AMLise's number are correct!
Why then does the press keep reporting 30 some American casualties in Iraq since May 1?
Posted by: dahl on July 23, 2003 10:01 AM"Failed" isn't passive voice; it's an active voice, intransitive verb.
Posted by: joe on July 23, 2003 10:08 AMSo, we attacked a country that was no threat to us and American soldiers are dying there each day and the cost is many billions and counting.
A country where we are wanted and where we could have helped so many at perhaps no loss of an American soldier and at such a minor monetary cost, we have no help for. Liberia?
Posted by: obidah on July 23, 2003 10:39 AMdahl:
Because the Pentagon and the press make a distinction between directly combat-related fatalities and accident-related ones.
Although this seems to me to be quite difficult to do and overly technical. For example, the journalist Michael Kelly was killed in a "traffic accident" when the driver of the humvee he was riding in swerved into a canal - because he was trying to avoid enemy fire. Thus, I'm skeptical when hearing about "accidents".
Posted by: Raven on July 23, 2003 10:50 AMRaven
Thank you so much. This issue bothers me quite a lot. Still, can you possibly believe that American soldiers are dying daily "accidently?"
Well, to be fair to Rice she did forget about being warned of terrorists flying planes into buildings. Evidently she's just very forgetful.
Perhaps she'd be happier in a less high-pressure job.
I'm quite looking forward to tomorrow's report.
Oh - you've caught the news about White House officials leaking that Joseph Wilson's wife was an undercover CIA operative specializing in WMD? NBC, the NYT, now Newsday. Besides all else, it's a felony.
http://www.nytimes.com/2003/07/22/opinion/22KRUG.html
...While we're on the subject of patriotism, let's talk about the affair of Joseph Wilson's wife. Mr. Wilson is the former ambassador who was sent to Niger by the C.I.A. to investigate reports of attempted Iraqi uranium purchases and who recently went public with his findings. Since then administration allies have sought to discredit him — it's unpleasant stuff. But here's the kicker: both the columnist Robert Novak and Time magazine say that administration officials told them that they believed that Mr. Wilson had been chosen through the influence of his wife, whom they identified as a C.I.A. operative....
Posted by: jd on July 23, 2003 11:28 AMPBS News - 7/22/03
"The attacks on U.S. troops in Iraq now come at a rate averaging one every two hours. Most of the incidents are not deadly, but 38 American soldiers and marines have been killed in action since major fighting was declared over May 1."
No, no, no!
There had been 94 American soldiers killed in Iraq since May by 7/22/03. What is wrong with the press?
Posted by: dahl on July 23, 2003 11:51 AMI for one believe Hadley did forget. I don't think he's the only one who forgot- I think Rice, probably W, and numerous other important figures did in fact forget. They all forgot because they did not want to believe and thus did not take ownership of Tenet et al's warnings. That Niger could be untrue did not fit with the story they "knew."
This is certainly not an excuse and is quite different than forgetting to pick up the dry cleaning. But forget is probably the correct word.
I am cheered that you leftist continue to attack the strawmen of "Bush's Lies," and the "Iraq Quagmire." Nobody gives a hoot guys!
I would be disturbed if you concentrated on the economy, but you won't.
"Mcgovern in 2004, errrrrrrrrr 1972"
Posted by: Michael Strickland on July 23, 2003 12:50 PMWe shouldn't ascribe to mendacity what is explained by incompetence. Maybe. Iraq must have had several embassies in African uranium-exporting countries. Iraqi officials probably went on industrial shopping trips all over Africa and the world on an ongoing basis. I have no trouble with the British "Learning" that Iraqis went shopping somewhere in Africa for uranium. It's almost certainly true.
The underlying idea, that Saddam Hussein wanted to develop nuclear weapons and the missiles to carry them is well known and not in dispute. With unfettered access to billions of dollars of oil revenue Saddam would certainly have succeeded eventually. Can you imagine Qusai and Uday with nukes? Or even good gas weapons?
Somebody in the Bush administration should be soundly thrashed for embarrassing the US by publishing forged documents about Niger. It's such an amazing blunder there should be some conspiracy theories about what foreign spy made it happen.
Anyway, there are other uranium exporting countries in Africa, so perhaps the Brits "Learned" about a shopping trip to the Congo or somewhere. Sometimes when you go shopping you don't get what you originally wanted. Sometimes you do.
Such morons. Where are those damn WMDs in Iraq, morons? They are not there because we made it impossible for years for them to be there. So, never you morons mind, while American soldiers are killed you can rest easy. Morons.
Posted by: ronn on July 23, 2003 01:08 PMI still think the SOTU flap is gotcha typical press scandal The press are upset because they bought the "Iraq has WMD" story hook line and sinker last year and blew off other sources like Scotter Ritter who said that 95 % or better had been eliminated. The press is reacting to a source that abused their trust, not to the real story.
The real story is the lack of planning that went into post war Iraq. Why our troops are still there as sitting ducks in a shooting gallery. Why the electricity still doesn't work in Iraq and why they are not showering our troops with flowers. There were people in the administration that saw this coming but they were ignored the same way the CEA is ignored when it comes to fiscal policy.
Posted by: bakho on July 23, 2003 01:41 PMThe WaPo mentions offhandedly towards the end of this article:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A31597-2003Jul22.html?nav=hptop_tb
that one of the CIA memos, the one on Oct. 6th, was sent directly not only to Hadley, but as well to his boss, Condi Rice. And yet, she claims to have been unaware of the matter.
What was the CIA supposed to do -- send her to a pastel-painted village in Wales where she would be addressed as "number six" and not let leave until she understood the story was bogus?
Posted by: Charles Dodgson on July 23, 2003 02:46 PMSpeaking of Condi being forgetful, what about that Dec. 20, 2000 meeting between her and Sandy Berger where Berger outlined his ideas for going into Afghanistan and getting rid of the Taliban and Al Qaeda. When reporters asked Dr. Rice about this meeting, she did not recall it. She certainly did not start drawing up any plans to go into Afghanistan until mid-August 2001. What ever happened to this story?
Posted by: Hal McClure on July 23, 2003 04:41 PMWhere are the conservative voices on this thread (the radical libertarians, ultraconservatives, etc.)? Funny they seem to chime in sometimes when Brad's argument is somewhat pliable. When it is a thread like this that is virtually impossible to argue with, you never hear them saying: "well, sorry guys, I guess all that I said about how Saddam was going to blow up the eastern seaboard wasn't true. Maybe Bush isn't so great after all".
No, they don't respond at all. Just wait until another thread comes along just a bit more speculative, they'll have forgotten all about this story and go on spouting jingoisms. Great thing about those conservatives, they just don't let reality get in the way of their delusions.
Posted by: non economist on July 23, 2003 08:45 PMAt this point in the game, I don't see how anyone can believe anything Condi Rice says. How many buck-passing statements that defy common sense can a person make before they become a joke? On just about every level though, truth-telling is a dangerous thing for a Bush Administration official. Just imagine if a Treasury Secretary ever tried to tell the truth about Bush's fiscal policies... Oh wait, that actually happened and the guy is gone.
The basic rule for job security in the White House seems to be, lying and/or extreme incompetence is no vice in defense of Bush's policies.
Posted by: John McKinzey on July 23, 2003 10:14 PMI'm wondering how long Rice will last. I'm working with an 'ablative shielding' theory - peel off subordinates from the lower levels first. However, it looks like Rice is being implicated, with her only defense being that she's got a lousy memory when it comes to matters of national security. And even in the Bush administration, there's a limit to tolerating that (a high one, mind you, but still a limit). And it seems to me that Rice is the best person short of Cheney to take a public fall.
Posted by: Barry on July 24, 2003 04:19 AMWell, something has to give within the national security establishment. George Tenet comes out of Sixteen-Word-Gate looking like a stand up guy, and Rice and Hadley look cheap and self serving. Regardless of who's at fault, this isn't promising for the chemistry of the inner circle.
Posted by: Jim Harris on July 24, 2003 05:24 AMEveryone who is calling for Condi Rice's head over this don't seem to get it.
Condi Rice is untouchable, pristine because:
1: she is a senior level Black in a Republican adminstration
2: she has PhD and went to college when she was what, 13?
3: There is NO WAY Rove will let this come *that* close to Bush
Besides, Somerby is right: the press is doing its usual and barking up the wrong tree on this one. The more it focuses on the SOTU, the longer the reprieve for the Administration over the 'outing' of Valerie Plame - which is the *real* crime here.
Posted by: Suresh krishnamoorthy on July 24, 2003 07:53 AMSuresh is right. The whole SOTU thing is really about honesty and competence, and the lack thereof, and we seem to have all accepted that as par for the course with the W administration. The Valerie Plame thing though is the potentially fatal wound that the media seems unwilling to poke at.
Posted by: john mckinzey on July 24, 2003 04:12 PMWell, there is at least one upside to constantly harping on the SOTU speech:
Bush has to give another one. Right at the beginning of hot-and-heavy primary season, no less.
The SOTU usually marks a bump in the President's approval and support ratings, but the Niger incident could well undermine any attempt by Rove to use next year's SOTU as the launchpad for the election cycle.
On another note, I remember a college research paper I was to write. I chose the topic and submitted my list of sources to the professor. My trip to the library turned up many sources I didn't agree with, so I left them off my list and chose only those sources that supported my thesis. The prof returned my source list with an added twenty-five of his own recommended readings -- each of which I had already reviewed and rejected. I ended up having to change my thesis since the original one was untenable given the bulk of research.
It was one of the most important lessons I learned in college.
Posted by: joel on July 27, 2003 09:17 AM