Brad DeLong's Semi-Daily Journal: A Weblog: Reason to Hope

September 10, 2004

Reason to Hope

Reason to hope that Osama bin Laden is dead:

Osama bin Laden's chief deputy proclaimed the United States will ultimately be defeated in Iraq and Afghanistan in a videotape broadcast Thursday that appeared to be a rallying call for al-Qaida ahead of the anniversary of the Sept. 11.... Al-Qaida has issued a bin Laden audio tape in the two previous years on Sept. 10, so Thursday's video fits a pattern leading up to the attack anniversary, a U.S. intelligence official said. Intelligence officials were working to confirm the speaker was al-Zawahri.
If it is al-Zawahri, it would be the first time since December 2001 that bin Laden's No. 2 has appeared in a video in which he is speaking and delivering a message, the official said, although he was purported to have made a statement in an audiotape on June 11. Al-Zawahri also was shown making a limited statement on a videotape on April 15, 2002, but Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld said at the time that the material appeared to be outdated.
Experts were investigating what message the video released Thursday might be seeking to convey and whether the videotape is actually an older audiotape, now joined with its images....

In a videotape released on Sept. 10, 2003, Bin Laden and al-Zawahri were shown walking through rocky terrain. Two audiotaped messages accompanied that video, including one in which bin Laden praised the ``great damage to the enemy'' done on Sept. 11.
In this year's anniversary tape, al-Zawahri makes a rare appearance without bin Laden, proclaiming that the era of security for Americans is over and they will never enjoy it again unless their government stops what he described as crimes against Muslims in Iraq, Afghanistan and Palestine.

Posted by DeLong at September 10, 2004 08:43 AM | TrackBack

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Brad, old sport? Remember those boring old practices like giving a source and a link?

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These are the new days of one-click push-button web publishing. If Apple's services menu fails to pick up the link, the link doesn't get published...

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If he's really dead, as some people have been speculating since late 2001, then Bush can be blamed pretty much indefinitely for not capturing him.

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Or maybe it means he's on ice waiting for a Halloween delivery. Or maybe Bush will wear Delta force get-up and make the capture himself live on TV.

Posted by: Steve at September 10, 2004 11:51 AM

Four questions:

1) Why is Zawahiri reading from a text, his eyes dancing back and forth? Don't fanatics just harangue ad hominen?

2)Why does he not seem to be enjoying his performance--video lens fright?

3) Is the speech in Egyptian Arabic, and if not, what dialect of Arabic is it in?

4) Heretofore, Zawahiri & Co. have always been pictured holding AK-47's. However, in the video, we see a significantly more robust and shiny piece of hardware behind him. What kind of weapon is it, and what does it presence signify? And why isn't he holding it?

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