October 09, 2004

Things Have Gotten Really Weird Here...

First the Bush administration says that it believes that photographs like this that show a rectangular bulge in Bush's jacket have been doctored and faked:

The New York Times > Washington > Campaign 2004 > The Mystery of the Bulge in the Jacket: What was that bulge in the back of President Bush's suit jacket at the presidential debate in Miami last week? According to rumors racing across the Internet this week, the rectangular bulge visible between Mr. Bush's shoulder blades was a radio receiver, getting answers from an offstage counselor into a hidden presidential earpiece.... First [the White House] said that pictures showing the bulge might have been doctored...

But that didn't work:

...the bulge turned out to be clearly visible in the television footage of the evening...

So the White House switched to Plan B:

:

"There was nothing under his suit jacket," said Nicolle Devenish, a campaign spokeswoman. "It was most likely a rumpling of that portion of his suit jacket, or a wrinkle in the fabric." Ms. Devenish could not say why the "rumpling" was rectangular. Nor was the bulge from a bulletproof vest, according to campaign and White House officials; they said Mr. Bush was not wearing one...

But to say "pay no attention to the bulge under his jacket!" is hardly satisfactory to anyone not on the payroll of the Wizard of Oz.

Wonkette makes a good point:

Wonkette: ...theory that Bush wore an earpiece during last week's debate. Yes, we've seen the pictures. But we also watched the debate. If Bush was listening to some kind of radio signal, it was between stations.

In any case, Salon has seen fit to pick up the story and the Media Channel even got poor Mark McKinnon to go through the trouble making a statement about it:

I love this. Am tempted to say, 'I cannot confirm or deny,' and let the story get some legs. Or, how about, 'Since we put the metal plate in his head, we have had some measure of success with audio transmissions to the President.' Or, 'Yeah, but it clearly broke down during the debate.' Unfortunately, the truth is not nearly as interesting. The answer is, 'The President has never been assisted by any audio signal.'

My instant reaction is that this is another non-denial denial: of course the audio signal did not "assist" Bush: nothing could have helped Bush in that debate. The first interesting question is whether they tried--albeit unsuccessfully--to assist Bush with an audio signal. And the second interesting question is: If it is not a radio, what is it?

I bet it's part of a back brace. Bush's posture was terrible.

Posted by DeLong at October 9, 2004 09:02 AM | TrackBack
Comments

If Bush's back really is seriously out, that might explain some of his testiness in the two debates so far. That stuff can hurt, especially when one needs to stand or sit on a stool for long periods.

There's also the 'wouldn't it be nice if the Bush administration weren't so faux macho and could admit that Bush hurt himself falling off a bike or something any of the, what, four times it's happened?' factor.

Posted by: NBarnes at October 9, 2004 09:26 AM

Maybe if Bush has a back problem, he should consider something like, oh, I don't know, going to the doctor or having that physical he postponed until after the election, or something like that.

Then again, Bush isn't known for prudence and wisdom, or, you know, doing the smart well-reasoned thing.

Posted by: Pamela at October 9, 2004 09:38 AM

'The President has never been assisted by any audio signal.'

Ummm, isn't there a CNN tape floating around from a European press conference whereas multiple people heard what was clearly audio prompts imeadiately proceeding Bush's answers?

Posted by: Thumb at October 9, 2004 09:40 AM

Brad,

I do not by the back brace theory. A back brace should have enforced good posture not deter it.

Bush posture suggest that what ever it waa it was irratating him and forcing a round shouldered posture.

The conspiracy theory is that the reciever picked up radio signals and then transmitted sound through the spinal canal. .

Posted by: llamajockey at October 9, 2004 09:43 AM

Brad,

I do not by the back brace theory. A back brace should have enforced good posture not deter it.

Bush posture suggest that what ever it waa it was irratating him and forcing a round shouldered posture.

The conspiracy theory is that the reciever picked up radio signals and then transmitted sound through the spinal canal. .

Posted by: llamajockey at October 9, 2004 09:43 AM

The conspiracy theory is that the reciever picked up radio signals and then transmitted sound through the spinal canal.

This was some years back but does anyone else remember a gimic radio called the Bone Phone? It worked by wearing around the sholders and having small speakers play into your collar bone.

Posted by: Thumb at October 9, 2004 09:48 AM

New Theory: Bush didn't prepare for the debate because he knew that he would be getting his answers
from someone backstage. But somehow the system let him down. Maybe it was a technical error that hadn't been previously detected and diagnosed. So Bush was winging it the whole time, having not prepared at all. That would explain why he f*cked it up so bad and also the bulge.


Posted by: dan at October 9, 2004 09:51 AM

I think it is some sort of surge protector/backup power device. If the power goes out, the computer that Karl Rove has installed in the place where Bush's brain used to be still has 60 minutes of battery power.

Posted by: Dan Kervick at October 9, 2004 09:52 AM

If Bush has a bad back, as his postponed physical might reveal, why hide it? What's the big deal? Kennedy did fine with a bad back *and* being hepped up on pain pills. Hell, FDR couldn't even walk!

Is Dubya trying to create a legend for himself, akin to FDR's hidden suffering?

Posted by: Grumpy at October 9, 2004 09:54 AM

Y'know, I think it's much simpler than that. Bush wears body armor. He lives in a paranoid little bubble where the president, despite the amount of security which surrounds him, believes he's in immanent danger at any second. So he wears a kevlar vest, and it produces a bulge.

Posted by: Elf Sternberg at October 9, 2004 10:18 AM

Jeez, and here I've been thinking all week that the bulge was the access panel where the hamster goes in.

Posted by: Tim H. at October 9, 2004 10:21 AM

The thing under Bush's jacket? It's where they attach the strings.

Posted by: HStewart at October 9, 2004 10:25 AM

I'd vote for a bulletproof vest as well. A poster on Kos (I think) claimed that sometimes the Secret Service actually adds a sort of handle to Presidential body armor in just that position; it makes it easier to bum-rush the wearer to safety in a crisis. It would explain why Bush did so badly, why his posture was so poor, and why they lied about it. (Yeah, yeah, I know, they lie about everything...)

Posted by: Geoduck at October 9, 2004 11:02 AM

You know, you can't believe everything you read on the internets.

Which is why I find it odd that the Bushies are issuing these strange denials that turn out to be lies.

The Bushies have said W wasn't wearing a vest so that shoots that one down.

Posted by: Barry Freed at October 9, 2004 11:09 AM

With modern acoustic engineering, you can beam directional sound with laser-like precision using special loudspeakers - a radio receiver is unnecessary and would have too high a likelihood of exposure compared to a sound cannon that could be disguised as video equipment.

Posted by: Fazal Majid at October 9, 2004 11:12 AM

A bulletproof vest would make sense, and it seems an odd place to position a box for some sort of microphone/earbud system. But in that case, why would they deny it? Maybe the Secret Service doesn't like them to, but why wouldn't they just say 'we don't discuss questions of security'?

Posted by: tavella at October 9, 2004 11:21 AM

This doesn't prove anything, but looking up body armor on the web, I found a picture of body armor with a "radio pouch" close to the location of the bulge. I present this purely in the interest of clouding the discussion further: :)

http://www.securityandsafetysupply.com/products-body-armor/military-body-armor-13.html

Most of the body armor on this site is smooth in back. I can't think of a good reason for a bulge right in that spot, though the explanation of giving secret service a handle to pull on is interesting.

I'm really divided on this issue. My faith in technology is such that I can't believe you'd need such an obvious bulky device to set up a debate "life line" to the president. My default assumption would be that there is an entirely innocent explanation, but the fact that the White House has come up with implausible and contradictory ones leaves me wondering.

Posted by: Paul Callahan at October 9, 2004 11:37 AM

Something's up, that's for sure.

Last night the box was not under his jacket, but he had that crazy jaw thing going on all through the debate.

I'm with Paul - I'd assumed to begin with that the box under his jacket was a kevlar vest buckle or something of the sort - the fact that they can't even give a simple answer as to what that was sure is funny.

Posted by: SalParadise at October 9, 2004 11:52 AM

For a good analysis of the whitewash see

http://billmon.org/archives/001619.html

Here are portions of the SEC Press Release. Is it credible that Cheney was not involved?

http://sec.gov/news/press/2004-104.htm

"Under the new practice, Halliburton recognized revenues on certain claims that the company believed were probable of collection rather than, pursuant to the prior practice, claims that had been finally resolved with its customers. Although both of Halliburton's claims recognition practices, the historical one and the revised one, are appropriate under Generally Accepted Accounting Principles, there was a significant difference in their respective effects on Halliburton's financial presentation: the new practice reduced losses on several large construction projects. As a result, Halliburton's reported income was higher under the revised practice than it would have been under the prior practice"

"Over six reporting periods, spanning approximately 18 months covering 1998 and 1999, Halliburton failed to disclose its change of accounting practice. In the absence of any disclosure, the investing public was deprived of a full opportunity to assess Halliburton's reported income more particularly, the precise nature of that income, and its comparability to Halliburton's income in prior periods. It was not until March 2000 that Halliburton, in its 1999 Form 10-K, disclosed its change in accounting practice."

"The Commission alleges that [former CFO] Morris and [former controller] Muchmore were responsible for the company's failure to disclose the accounting change, over six quarters, in Halliburton's Commission filings. Additionally, Morris and Muchmore played key roles in the preparation and review of quarterly earnings releases and analyst teleconference scripts that included the affected income figures. They were, therefore, also responsible for the absence in the releases and scripts of any clarifying reference to the accounting change or its impact."

The company's former Chief Executive Officer, Vice President Richard B. Cheney, provided sworn testimony and cooperated willingly and fully in the investigation conducted by the Commission's career staff...

Contact: Stephen M. Cutler, Director
SEC Division of Enforcement
202-942-4540

Posted by: SEC Observer at October 9, 2004 11:58 AM

Now, if you want to get REALLY weird - check out the last story on the page linked to on my name.

I'm ashamed to even bring this to the table & offer it without the standard empty apology.

Posted by: SalParadise at October 9, 2004 12:02 PM

I sure can't figure it out. There would be no reason to put a receiver there; a reciever need not be larger than a pager, and could - would - be inside the trousers at the back. It's easy enough to conceal a pistol there, let alone a pager-sized reveiver. So the receiver explanation for the bulge does not make sense. (This is not to say the guy doesn't wear an earpiece, though.) The body armor theory is strange, because, body armor is designed NOT to "print", i.e. to be visible under a jacket. Although perhaps some printing's unaviodable if it's heavy-duty armor with a ceramic insert? The "handle" explanation is funny but, I think, incorrect and silly. The back brace explanation seems plausible. Perhaps his pusture would be even worse without it...

Frankly, I'm more interested in discussions of Bush's pharmacology in debate I vs. II.

Posted by: CD318 at October 9, 2004 12:07 PM

And I thought the whole first debate he was getting messages from god. Wrong again! On the other hand maybe there isn't that much difference between Rove and his god... Whatever.

Seriously, I could be convinced that it was a transmitter of some kind -- that (and of course the bad back theory) would explain his inability to get into the groove, his spaced-out demeanor. There's something else: extreme self-consciousness goes with interrupting others, not being part of the flow of conversation, outbursts.

Posted by: Bean at October 9, 2004 12:11 PM

I more and more think we need a weblog from a physician observing Bush's behavior.

Posted by: Bean at October 9, 2004 12:15 PM

Brad Check out this photo on Yahoo. It looks like something was hidden on Dubya's back under his jacket Friday night as well.

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/041009/480/pd13510090242

I got to run to kitchen now and get some tinfoil.

Posted by: llamajockey at October 9, 2004 12:31 PM

> I bet it's part of a back brace.
> Bush's posture was terrible.

My bet: it is a nerve stimulation system for the lower back. These were popular in the 1990s but seem to be less popular now, as they only work for a certain percentage of people.

Implication: Bush has a serious lower back injury that he is hiding, probably because he is taking pain killers and muscle relaxants.

Cranky

Posted by: Cranky Observer at October 9, 2004 12:39 PM

Cranky,

A family member had spinal cancer, he used a nerve stimulation system for his lower back. The stimulation electro pads went on the lower back, The battery/power unit went on his belt. I do not think that is it.

Posted by: llamajockey at October 9, 2004 01:23 PM

Cranky,

A family member had spinal cancer, he used a nerve stimulation system for his lower back. The stimulation electro pads went on the lower back, The battery/power unit went on his belt. I do not think that is it.

Posted by: llamajockey at October 9, 2004 01:23 PM

If you check out people wearing a suit on the street you often see a wrinkle in that location. I think it is nothing.

Posted by: Joe O at October 9, 2004 02:19 PM

As long as we're playing Tinfoil Hat:

1. The Earpiece Theory explains why Bush's performance was so horrible at the first debate: Bush didn't prepare much because he was relying on the receiver, and the receiver didn't work.

2. Anyone notice that when Kerry and Bush shook hands at the start of Debate II, Kerry patted Bush on the back?

Posted by: Oberon at October 9, 2004 02:24 PM

I agree, probably a back brace. We haven't heard anything about Bush mountain biking since his last fall. Nor jogging. and he looks back-pained often. Maybe like Kennedy, held up by drugs.

On the other hand, could Bush' back injury be the coming "October Surprise"?

Posted by: paulo at October 9, 2004 02:27 PM

anyone ever read the Puppet Masters by Heinlein?

Posted by: bryan at October 9, 2004 02:33 PM

More Tinfoil Hat Mania

http://community.democrats.com/forums/discussions.cfm?forumid=170&topicid=139646

Enjoy

Posted by: llamajockey at October 9, 2004 02:42 PM

The box has nothing to do with communication, it's to give a wake-up shock should 'Pretznit' have another 'Pretzel' episode and get all catatonic at the wrong moment.

Posted by: Dick Durata at October 9, 2004 03:58 PM


I'm puzzled by the bulge.

To my eyes, it doesn't look even close to being big enough for Cheney's hand.

I'm forced (by the voices in my head) to conclude that George Bush's puppetmaster is the same person who dropped the bloody glove at OJ's house.

Posted by: vote no on (almost) all CA propositions at October 9, 2004 04:38 PM

I think it was a back brace, too. Uncle Dick couldn't be there to remind the lad to sit up straight.

Posted by: Rob at October 9, 2004 05:33 PM

AUDIO ANALYSIS OF THE BUSH VIDEO

This is the video from CNN with the mysterious pre-echo that most cite as evidence that Bush uses an ear prompter when delivering speeches. In the video, the words Bush says can be heard in a strange echo right before he says them:
http://www.canofun.com/blog/videos/BushAndTheOddSync.wmv

So I make music in my spare time, and mess around with digital audio quite a bit. I loaded the Bush video into Vegas Video, put the audio on solo, and rendered it as a wav. I took that and loaded into the sound forge and and checked out the waveform.

My initial hypothesis was that the effect is what you might call a slap-back preverb. This is a type of reverb with an early delay. Easy enough to do on purpose in a studio, and easy enough to trigger by glitch at CNN.

But if this were true, the wave forms for the repeating words should appear in identitical shape and in perfect symetry based on the duration of the pre-delay. Most are not. The shape of the wave forms are especially different on "security", "parameters", and "co-operation". In other words, the two audio tracks are not from the same source. I'm positive both voices are Bush. But I am also fairly sure it is not an audio artifact or glitch, and it seems clear they were recorded at a different time.

You can duplicate the track, one below the other, and move the bottom track forward along the time ruler until matching a known word, like "minister", and all the wave forms should be at exactly the same place along the time ruler. But they are not. There are variations are large as 3/10 of second, and in audio-world, that is a hugh chuck of time.

And before you say distortion - Distortion does occur here, and appears like a fuzz of hair on the preverb waveforms. Distortion makes lots of linear marks, but does not change the size of the waveforms, which are are big and organic. Nor does distortion effect the delay.

Posted by: Strange Currencies at October 9, 2004 06:05 PM

AUDIO ANALYSIS OF THE BUSH VIDEO

This is the video from CNN with the mysterious pre-echo that most cite as evidence that Bush uses an ear prompter when delivering speeches. In the video, the words Bush says can be heard in a strange echo right before he says them:
http://www.canofun.com/blog/videos/BushAndTheOddSync.wmv

So I make music in my spare time, and mess around with digital audio quite a bit. I loaded the Bush video into Vegas Video, put the audio on solo, and rendered it as a wav. I took that and loaded into the sound forge and and checked out the waveform.

My initial hypothesis was that the effect is what you might call a slap-back preverb. This is a type of reverb with an early delay. Easy enough to do on purpose in a studio, and easy enough to trigger by glitch at CNN.

But if this were true, the wave forms for the repeating words should appear in identitical shape and in perfect symetry based on the duration of the pre-delay. Most are not. The shape of the wave forms are especially different on "security", "parameters", and "co-operation". In other words, the two audio tracks are not from the same source. I'm positive both voices are Bush. But I am also fairly sure it is not an audio artifact or glitch, and it seems clear they were recorded at a different time.

You can duplicate the track, one below the other, and move the bottom track forward along the time ruler until matching a known word, like "minister", and all the wave forms should be at exactly the same place along the time ruler. But they are not. There are variations are large as 3/10 of second, and in audio-world, that is a hugh chuck of time.

And before you say distortion - Distortion does occur here, and appears like a fuzz of hair on the preverb waveforms. Distortion makes lots of linear marks, but does not change the size of the waveforms, which are are big and organic. Nor does distortion effect the delay.

Posted by: Strange Currencies at October 9, 2004 06:06 PM

If it's some sort of receiver, couldn't it be place somewhere less noticable like in a jacket pocket or something? I center of the back seems like an odd place.

I'd vote for body armor and they won't just come out and say it because that'd make him look weak or something.

Posted by: Brian at October 9, 2004 06:23 PM

Maybe he was still wearing the flightsuit under his regular clothes ...

Posted by: Patrick Taylor at October 9, 2004 07:56 PM

It wasn't a back-brace, it was a bomb, in case Jesus returned unexpectedly and the Rapture began without George. All good Republicrats get called home to Jesus. George just wanted to make sure he was on that Freedom Train in the Sky.

Go ahead, George, make my day!

PS Or maybe, since he's fallen off the wagon, it was his direct-drip Jim-Beam-on-the-back flask?

Posted by: Tante Aime at October 9, 2004 10:19 PM

Is it me, or is Bush starting to look a lot like Howdie Dootie having a bad hair day? Maybe he pre-records his teleprompts so he can get enough lag time in there to bob his head a couple of times, wink to nobody at the loud popping in his earpiece, and slip his famous hee-uck, hee-uck in there. "Would you like to buy some wood?"
Kind of Rodney Dangerfield-ish, if you know what I mean. God, Rodney, why did you leave us now!?

Posted by: Harry Possue at October 9, 2004 10:23 PM

I think it's very likely Bush was wired and it just didn't work like they expected. We've all had the experience having someone talk to us when we're on the phone. It's disconcerting. You either tune out one or the other, or just pick up enough bits of each conversation to end up confused. I also think we give the "Karen and Karl Show" too much credit to think they wouldn't come up with something this stupid.

Posted by: Michael at October 9, 2004 10:30 PM

Bryan,
Do you think someone issued him a defective 'slug'?

Posted by: linnen at October 9, 2004 11:43 PM

bryan, linnen: I was thinking the same thing about "The Puppet Masters". I'd wondered if it'd crossed anyone else's mind, figured there had to be *someone* else out there.

Posted by: John Owens at October 10, 2004 02:39 AM

I doubt the bulge is any sort of audio device. It would have been easy to spare this possible embarassment by locating the device in a less conspicuous place, such as in the small of the back. My hunch (no pun intended) is that it is a backbrace of some kind. The fact that it doesn't look like a back brace we've seen before means nothing. Doctors can be geniuses at cooking up awkward, intrusive, and embarassing corrective devices of cruel and unusual shapes. Plus the amount of time Bush devotes to screwing around, combined with his IQ, makes the probability that he took some sort of spill on some sort recreational animal or machine close to 1. I 'm sure sure Cheney gave him a vicious stooge slap for hurting himself so close to the debates. The fact the Bush seemed more doped-up than usual also serves my view.

Posted by: lordgucci at October 10, 2004 03:13 AM

" ... a back brace ... " ???

My back brace has the form of a narrow elastic corset. It is worn around the waist and lower back. It does not extend (nearly) to the shoulder blades, as Shrub's did. It extends as far as my lowest rib.

Some clever blogger or Radio Shack employee -- with perhaps more time on his/her hands than is healthy -- could perhaps measure the object under W's jacket from the photos and then compare the size to those of any commercially available receivers.

Posted by: John M at October 10, 2004 06:12 AM

Here's one explanation that could fit.

Bush was wired, but not for the debate. He's wired most of the time for his stump speeches (the mysterious pre-echo reports seem to indicate he sometimes uses audio prompting). The system is for prompting him on prepared text, so it would not have been on for the debate. It has just become so routine for him and his handlers, that nobody ever thought of removing it for the first debate. If he was stumping earlier that day, he might have used it. More likely, he had it ready for a post-debate rally.

This fits some facts:

Why so bulky? It's built for reliability, not concealment. It needs both a receiver and a transmitter to the wireless device in his ear. The batteries might even be the bulkiest part. Better technology exists, but this is not James Bond stuff, it's just off the shelf equipment.

Why in that silly place on his back? The audience almost always sees him from the front. That's the one spot they will almost never see. (OK, what about the back belt loop--maybe the between shoulder blades position is less restrictive to movement.)

How could they be that stupid? It's really not that conspicuous if you're not looking at a still photo trying to see it. It's good enough to use in stump speeches where they have control over the view. They didn't expect anyone to see that view in the debate or to notice anything peculiar.

Why won't they admit it? They don't want to give away that Bush is wired on the campaign trail. It's not unethical as it would be in a debate with set rules, but it would reinforce the notion that he's a puppet of Rove, Cheney, or whoever.

Posted by: Paul Callahan at October 10, 2004 09:47 AM

I haven't really seen the video footage showing his back, but, after reviewing parts of the debate, it seems more and more like he was being prompted. You can hear it in his tempo, his cadence--he says a line and then waits a few seconds (for it to sink in or for the next line to be delivered) or he rushes to finish a line, mashing it in the process. In this last debate his rhythm was much different. You didn't see those long pauses and you definitely didn't see the bulge. Listen to him again and you will here that same halting rhythm that allows just enough time between lines for a prompter to whisper something in his ear.

Posted by: ben at October 10, 2004 03:09 PM

I think the truth is far more embarasing than it being some sort of communications system. I believe it is some sort of male bra to enhance his figure. Imagine the heads exploding if the wingers found out their hero president wore a bra.

Posted by: Kuas at October 10, 2004 07:24 PM

A back brace? It will take more than a back brace to turn Bush into an upright man!

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