As of 1:45 PM PST, Kerry 68.3%, Bush 31.9%...
It looks as though the Iowa Electronic Market is starting to move. As of 12:15 PM PST, Kerry 54.7%, Bush 45.9%...
Posted by DeLong at November 2, 2004 01:50 PM | TrackBackQuotes: Quotes current as of 14:15:02 CST, Tuesday, November 02, 2004.
Symbol Bid Ask Last Low High Average DEM04_G52 0.183 0.214 0.217 0.130 0.250 0.181 DEM04_L52 0.330 0.338 0.330 0.301 0.355 0.328 REP04_L52 0.342 0.347 0.345 0.321 0.398 0.368 REP04_G52 0.114 0.119 0.114 0.113 0.163 0.138
Go, man! Go!
I cannot imagine the sheer tonnage of popcorn that will be consumed tonight as we all await the results (such as they might be).
Posted by: Derelict at November 2, 2004 02:02 PMhttp://telegraph.bestbetting.com/Default.aspx?betting=US+U.S.+President+2004+-+Person&eventtype=0
UK betting:
Kerry at 4/11
Bush at 2/1
Real money betting Kerry almost 75% likely to win.
Posted by: slmehra at November 2, 2004 02:13 PM4 p.m. exit polls
by kos
Tue Nov 2nd, 2004 at 20:41:53 GMT
Grain of salt, yadda, yadda...
These numbers come from Slate. I've taken out a couple numbers that are clearly from the first round:
NV CO NC PA OH FL MI NM WI
Kerry 48 46 49 54 50 50 51 50 51
Bush 50 53 51 45 49 49 47 48 46
All good Republicans know the market is never wrong.
Posted by: Kuas at November 2, 2004 02:18 PMWhat a wonderful tool this electronic market notion is.
If Kerry wins, I can only assume that this market has been wrong for what six months, and corrects itself only 7 hours before the end of the election in Hawaii. A very inaccurate marketplace.
If Kerry loses, I can only assume that this market was accurate for six months and then swung badly 7 hours before the end. A very unstable and inaccurate marketplace.
And the sad part is, it's probably is about as accurate as the NYSE.
Posted by: jerry at November 2, 2004 02:58 PMWhat a wonderful tool this electronic market notion is.
If Kerry wins, I can only assume that this market has been wrong for what six months, and corrects itself only 7 hours before the end of the election in Hawaii. A very inaccurate marketplace.
If Kerry loses, I can only assume that this market was accurate for six months and then swung badly 7 hours before the end. A very unstable and inaccurate marketplace.
And the sad part is, it's probably is about as accurate as the NYSE.
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