Since servers are crashing all over the universe, here they are for those who cannot find them elsewhere:
Florida 52-48
Ohio 52-47
Michigan 51-48
Pennsylvania 58-42
Iowa 50-48
Wisconsin 53-47
Minnesota 57-42
New Hampshire 58-41
Maine 55-44
New Mexico 49-49
Nevada 48-49
Colorado 49-50
Arkansas 45-54
Hard to believe, but you have here PA at 58-42 Kerry while Zogby has it "Trending Kerry"; OH 52-47 Kerry and Zogby has it Bush +2 "Trending Kerry", and FL 52-48 Kerry, and Zogby "Kerry 0.1%, Trending Kerry".
How's a layman to make sense of this?
Posted by: james tsui at November 2, 2004 02:47 PMHard to believe, but you have here PA at 58-42 Kerry while Zogby has it "Trending Kerry"; OH 52-47 Kerry and Zogby has it Bush +2 "Trending Kerry", and FL 52-48 Kerry, and Zogby "Kerry 0.1%, Trending Kerry".
How's a layman to make sense of this?
Posted by: james tsui at November 2, 2004 02:48 PMDoes the Florida exit poll factor in the early voting? If not, then Bush is even further behind.
Posted by: Richard Green at November 2, 2004 02:49 PMGood ol' Reuters - - -
http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml;jsessionid=JK1F4Z5F12ZP0CRBAELCFFA?type=topNews&storyID=6693186
Blogs Send Stocks Lower on Talk of Kerry Victory
Tue Nov 2, 2004 05:28 PM ET
"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Internet blogs touting what they said were exit polls showing Democratic challenger John Kerry ahead in early voting in the American presidential election sent U.S. stocks and the dollar lower on Tuesday.
Stocks rallied early on Election Day but sank in afternoon trading after mostly pro-Kerry blogs cited results they said showed the Massachusetts senator leading President Bush in early voting in key states like Pennsylvania, Florida and Ohio.
The blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average finished 18.66 points lower at 10,035.73, but the Standard & Poors 500 Index edged up 0.07 point to close at 1,130.58 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index picked up 4.92 points to end the day at 1,984.79."
So let me see if I have this straight - the Dow finishes down by approximately 0.02%, the S&P "edged up" by 0.006%, the NASDAQ picked up 0.05% - and this is all the fault of those nasty, hateful, Kerry-loving Internet blogs?
Sounds like somebody at Reuters needs a heavy dose of "reality-based thinking" .....
Posted by: Uncle Jeffy at November 2, 2004 03:00 PMCan you please explain to me why the NY Times is attributing today's stock market jitters to the possibility of a drawn-out election with no clear winner--while the Wall Street Journal attributes the swoon to early exit polls and DRUDGERY. . .indicating a trend toward a Kerry win. So which paper is right--or are they both wrong?
Posted by: sylny at November 2, 2004 03:07 PMIf these numbers continue, we will finally have a real President as of 1/20/2005!
Posted by: pgl at November 2, 2004 03:07 PMIf these numbers continue, we will finally have a real President as of 1/20/2005!
Posted by: pgl at November 2, 2004 03:09 PMNot just Reuters. The AP also blamed the Dow loss on the prospect of a Kerry win. If anything, the early exit polls (if accurate) show that a Kerry win is certain. Here I thought the markets LOVED certainty.
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Posted by: texas hold em at November 22, 2004 02:10 AMIf a man will begin in certainties he shall end in doubts; but if he will be content to begin in doubts he shall end in certainties. Sir Francis Bacon (1561
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