July 22, 2002
Alan Murray Worries About Accounting for Intellectual Property...

Alan Murray worries about accounting for intellectual property, and quotes my father saying something very smart: that Enron thought that it could increase its ROI if it stripped itself down to a company that consisted only of its "superior models for assessing [energy] markets," but the company's accounting scandal quickly turned that asset to vapor--and it's unclear (to me at least) whether the scandal destroyed the value of Enron's information-based business or whether the value was gone already.

So it's a good week for the DeLongs, especially if you think that the goal of all life is to become research assistants for Wall Street Journal columnists. :-)


WSJ.com - Article

...But now that the bust has settled in, investors are learning the downsides to New Economy products and companies. For one thing, ideas aren't easy to control. Good ideas are like air and water; they can have enormous benefit to society, but that doesn't mean they can be easily turned to profit. Think of Enron Corp. as the ultimate New Economy company. It sold off most of its hard assets and kept as its principal asset its "superior models for assessing markets," says James V. Delong, senior fellow at the Competitive Enterprise Institute. But the company's accounting scandal quickly turned that asset to vapor.

Moreover, developing ideas is a much riskier business than developing physical products. Spend $20 million on constructing a building and the odds are pretty good that, once you are done, you'll have a building worth close to $20 million. Spend $20 million on research and development and you may have a billion-dollar breakthrough, or you may have nothing. The challenges all this presents for the folks with green eyeshades is immense. A study by the Brookings Institution found that, back in 1978, the book value of the tangible assets of publicly traded corporations accounted for more than 83% of the market value of those companies. But today, that figure has fallen, by most estimates, to 30% or 40%. Most of the value in today's companies comes from "intangible assets" -- things such as patents, copyrights, brands, customer lists, unique organizational designs, processes, etc. And it is those assets, which tend to be incredibly volatile and difficult to value, that will continue to give honest accountants fits...

Accounting Rules Must Adapt to Idea-Based New Economy, by Alan Murray

Talk of a "new economy" disappeared from polite conversation when the Nasdaq dropped below 2500. Today, the term is seldom used without a sneer. But members of Congress meeting this week to complete accounting-oversight legislation should remember this: There is a New Economy, in the form of companies whose value is determined far more by intangible assets than physical ones. And it will frustrate their best efforts to return corporate accounting to its former stolidity.

There are some problems that can be fixed -- and likely will be fixed -- by the pending legislation. The standards-setting process needs to be strengthened. The Financial Accounting Standards Board's cave to industry and congressional pressure in the 1990s on the question of expensing stock options, as well as its failure to come up with a reasonable rule for the treatment of special-purpose entities, are clear signs that the board needs more independence and oversight. And WorldCom Inc.'s brazen shifting of current expenses to its capital account, or Global Crossing Ltd.'s use of swaps to boost its earnings, makes clear that auditors aren't doing their jobs as well as they should.

But even if Congress fixes those problems, accounting will still be left with the challenge of dealing with a New Economy that doesn't lend itself well to Old Economy notions of economics, business practices and accounting.

What's true about the New Economy -- even with the Nasdaq below 1300 -- is that it consists of products whose value depends far more on their intellectual content than on their physical characteristics. It is, in short, an economy based on ideas. And ideas, it turns out, are fundamentally different economic entities from widgets.

During the boom years, everyone focused on the differences that worked to the advantage of business. Idea-based products, unlike widgets, can be endlessly replicated at little extra cost. And they often have "network" effects: If 10 people try to share a widget, its value to each will decline; but if 10 people use the same word-processing system, it becomes more valuable to each user as a standard for shared documents. The combination of low marginal costs and network benefits enabled companies with successful idea-based products -- Microsoft Corp.'s Windows is the ultimate example -- to earn astronomical profits.

But now that the bust has settled in, investors are learning the downsides to New Economy products and companies. For one thing, ideas aren't easy to control. Good ideas are like air and water; they can have enormous benefit to society, but that doesn't mean they can be easily turned to profit. Think of Enron Corp. as the ultimate New Economy company. It sold off most of its hard assets and kept as its principal asset its "superior models for assessing markets," says James V. Delong, senior fellow at the Competitive Enterprise Institute. But the company's accounting scandal quickly turned that asset to vapor.

Moreover, developing ideas is a much riskier business than developing physical products. Spend $20 million on constructing a building and the odds are pretty good that, once you are done, you'll have a building worth close to $20 million. Spend $20 million on research and development and you may have a billion-dollar breakthrough, or you may have nothing.

The challenges all this presents for the folks with green eyeshades is immense. A study by the Brookings Institution found that, back in 1978, the book value of the tangible assets of publicly traded corporations accounted for more than 83% of the market value of those companies. But today, that figure has fallen, by most estimates, to 30% or 40%. Most of the value in today's companies comes from "intangible assets" -- things such as patents, copyrights, brands, customer lists, unique organizational designs, processes, etc. And it is those assets, which tend to be incredibly volatile and difficult to value, that will continue to give honest accountants fits.

As its future gets bandied about in Washington, the Financial Accounting Standards Board is working on an effort to provide better accounting for intangible assets. Halsey Bullen, senior project manager at the FASB who is heading up the project, says the board will release a draft of its plan at the beginning of next year and a final statement at the end of the year. The idea is to provide for better disclosure of intangible assets in financial reports.

But anyone who thinks accounting for intangibles can ever provide the sort of solid information that Old Economy accounting provided should read the FASB's report on "Business and Financial Reporting Challenges from the New Economy," available on the board's Web site (http://www.fasb.org/articles&reports/new_economy.shtml). (It's also a good antidote for insomnia.) Even with good accounting, investors are going to continue to have a hard time separating the value of good ideas from sheer market puffery.

Updated July 23, 2002



Posted by DeLong at July 22, 2002 07:56 PM | Trackback

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Alan Murray touches on a cluster of deep questions, including one subject to preliminary delving and pondering back on 2002-02-04, namely, "Did Enron Exist?":
http://campenron.blogspot.com/?/2002_02_01_CampEnron_archive.html#75013493

A broader question is whether accounting can find anything worth counting, in a universe where conceptual and positional assets trump substantive and financial assets.

Posted by: RonK, Seattle on July 22, 2002 09:59 PM

This is much less of a problem than it is made out to be. Or at least, it's a different kind of problem; it's not so much that there isn't a clear and obvious answer, so much as that there is a clear and obvious answer and it's not the one that people want.

Intangibles should be recognised if and only if they could be sold separately from the business. Otherwise, they're goodwill, and internally generated goodwill is not recognised on a balance sheet. Thus, Enron's putative "skill in analysing a market" is goodwill, because you can't sell it without selling the business.

Most intangible assets shouldn't be recognised at all because they aren't assets at all; they're goodwill. The stock market might pay up for them, but as Enron showed, you shouldn't accept them as collateral for a loan. The problem is that this treatment a) doesn't treat the equity market as the be-al and end-all of accounting and b) doesn't inflate the asset base allowing companies to gear up without end. And thus it will never be popular with American business.

Posted by: dsquared on July 23, 2002 12:42 AM

One comment - in an article on Worldcrossing, a telecommunications analyst stated that telecom assets are now worth between 3 and 10 cents on the dollar, when trying to sell them separately.

So the problem is not just intangibles, but also hardware.

A question about the Brookings Institute study - how much of that drop in percentage is due to the increasing value of intangibles, and how much is due to the stock market bubble? As you and others have pointed out, stocks are still overpriced by P-E ratios.

Posted by: Barry on July 23, 2002 04:31 AM

A question for Brad: How did the son of a pro-business libertarian grow up to be a (sort-of) social democrat and partisan Democrat?

Posted by: PeterH on July 23, 2002 12:49 PM

What's true about the New Economy -- even with the Nasdaq below 1300 -- is that it consists of products whose value depends far more on their intellectual content than on their physical characteristics. Hmm... Isn't it equally true about the New Economy that it consists of products whose value diminishes over time, products that become worthless tomorrow if not sold today? (Brad, of all people, loves graphs that show steep decline in the cost of computing power.) If we agree that the value of "intellectual content" disppears fast, expensing R&D rather than capitalizing it is still the preferred choice...

Some time in 1999, Baruch Lev (if I remember correctly, there were two co-authors whose names escape me) published an interesting article in the Financial Analysts Journal. He researched patents held by U.S. companies. Each patent was evaluated from two standpoints. One ("citation impact") was the intensity of citing the patent in question. The other ("science link") was the number of references in the company's own patent applications to scientific papers, as opposed to previous patents. Companies in several R&D-intensive industries (chemical, pharmaceutical, electronics, etc.) then were divided into four groups depending on whether one of these indicators was higher or lower than the industry median. In most industries studied, high/high companies experienced higher stock returns than low/low companies. Exception: the pharmaceutical industry, where the low/low group outperformed the high/high group hands down. Notice that no accounting measures were involved here...

Posted by: Nikolai Chuvakhin on July 23, 2002 06:07 PM

Call it the different implications one draws from working in the government for an agency headed by Lloyd Bentsen and Bob Rubin on the one hand, and working in the government for one headed by Michael Pertschuk on the other...


Brad DeLong

Posted by: Brad DeLong on July 24, 2002 01:38 PM

>>how much of that drop in percentage is due to the increasing value of intangibles, and how much is due to the stock market bubble?<<

Well, they're the same thing--or, rather, the rise in stock market to book values is the same thing as the increasing value of intangibles. So it's a very hard question to answer.


Brad DeLong

Posted by: Brad DeLong on July 25, 2002 08:20 PM
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